Note from the Editor: Issue #19

WELCOME TO ISSUE #19

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Amidst rising geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and adjacent pressures, one question stands out for investors: is the US still the right place for commercial real estate investment?

When it comes to real estate, institutional investors have something many individual investors can struggle to afford: patience.

And with their extensive systems of governance, compliance, ethics, and fiduciary responsibility, their view of the horizon is often leagues above what ordinary investors find at ground level.

As such, institutional investors are well positioned to follow the cycles set by real estate itself, which can often be influenced by current trends in the near term, but are otherwise subject to trends that extend far beyond the workaday economy.

In this context, data are referents, merely; consumer reports, migratory movements, technological advancements, and economic trends provide critical data, but so too does conviction, which is not easily quantified and thus not easily swayed by politicking or emotion. (Or as Benjamin Franklin once quipped: an investment in knowledge pays the best interest.”)

And in today’s global climate of weakening democracies; expanding combat zones in Europe, the Middle East, and parts of southeast Asia; a retreat from global neoliberal economics; and historical technological disruption (vis a vis the “AI revolution” and its marked impact on both broader labor trends and individual intellectual capacities), the role of America—and its longstanding position as a safe, stable destination for foreign direct investment in the commercial real estate space—is increasingly fractious, such that many investors are now questioning the continued prospect of America as a place to prove their real estate convictions.

The latest AFIRE survey report, which opens this issue, underscores this question, as respondents provide somewhat contradictory views on the future economic prospects for the US.

This contradiction is ultimately what inspired to frame the rest of the issue in kind: is the US still the right place for commercial real estate investment?

Likely yes, but the years ahead will require greater conviction than before. And so our contributors in this issue come armed with much needed context for refining investor knowledge, from effective AI governance to domestic migration to a closer look at non-US markets—including Canada and Mexico—which will likewise become an increasingly critical markets of question and interest for our association as we continue or ongoing evolution, within and beyond our membership, which now represents more than $4 trillion AUM around the world.

Capital is global, so where is the world going next?

– Benjamin van Loon, Editor-in-Chief

CONTENTS

Benjamin van Loon | AFIRE

John Murray + François Trausch + Russell Gannaway + Kirill Zavodov | PIMCO

Riaz Cassum | JLL

Amy Erixon + Long Tang + Daniel Goldberg + Marie-France Benoit | Avison Young

Abbas Hashmi | Saudi Family Holdings

Shaun Libou | Raymond James

Donal Warde | Consultant + Ron Bekkerman | Constellation Data Labs

Sam Chandan | Chen Institute for Global Real Estate, NYU Stern School of Business

Armel Traore Dit Nignan + Shaarvani Kavula | Principal Real Estate

Marie-Noelle Brisson + Michael Savoie | CyberReady, LLC

Stewart Rubin | New York Life Real Estate Investors

Asaf Rosenheim | Profimex

Hannah Waldman | The Dermot Company

Ines Diez + Thomas Stanchak | Stoneweg

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The publisher of Summit is not engaged in providing tax, accounting, or legal advice through this publication. No content published in Summit is to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Some information included in Summit has been obtained from third-party sources considered to be reliable, though the publisher is not responsible for guaranteeing the accuracy of third-party information. The opinions expressed in Summit are those of its respective contributors and sources and do not necessarily reflect those of the publisher.

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